Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.002059 0.002162 0.002271 0.002394 0.002531 0.002679 0.002851
2025-05-18 0.001909 0.002054 0.002215 0.002406 0.002632 0.002894 0.003224
2025-05-25 0.001786 0.001955 0.002147 0.002388 0.002684 0.003048 0.003542
2025-06-01 0.001681 0.001863 0.002076 0.002350 0.002701 0.003152 0.003804
2025-06-08 0.001636 0.001836 0.002076 0.002394 0.002819 0.003394 0.004289
2025-06-15 0.001589 0.001801 0.002061 0.002415 0.002906 0.003602 0.004766
2025-06-22 0.001528 0.001745 0.002014 0.002387 0.002918 0.003701 0.005088
2025-06-29 0.001469 0.001687 0.001960 0.002346 0.002907 0.003759 0.005349
2025-07-06 0.001425 0.001645 0.001925 0.002326 0.002923 0.003860 0.005712
2025-07-13 0.001355 0.001567 0.001838 0.002229 0.002813 0.003743 0.005617
2025-07-20 0.001324 0.001538 0.001814 0.002218 0.002836 0.003848 0.006006
2025-07-27 0.001305 0.001524 0.001811 0.002237 0.002904 0.004041 0.006652
2025-08-03 0.001276 0.001497 0.001790 0.002229 0.002932 0.004171 0.007219
2025-08-10 0.001262 0.001489 0.001794 0.002260 0.003026 0.004440 0.008298
2025-08-17 0.001236 0.001464 0.001773 0.002250 0.003051 0.004579 0.009093
2025-08-24 0.001205 0.001431 0.001739 0.002219 0.003035 0.004631 0.009641
2025-08-31 0.001197 0.001430 0.001750 0.002259 0.003149 0.004984 0.011656
2025-09-07 0.001184 0.001421 0.001749 0.002279 0.003228 0.005278 0.013888
2025-09-14 0.001159 0.001394 0.001721 0.002254 0.003220 0.005359 0.015152
2025-09-21 0.001133 0.001364 0.001688 0.002217 0.003186 0.005368 0.016023
2025-09-28 0.001112 0.001342 0.001666 0.002199 0.003188 0.005473 0.017841
2025-10-05 0.001074 0.001294 0.001604 0.002111 0.003045 0.005173 0.016020
2025-10-12 0.001058 0.001278 0.001589 0.002102 0.003059 0.005299 0.018077